December 6th, 2006
Unless you’ve been living in a cave for the past several months, you know that the Iraq Study Group (aka “the Baker Committee”) published its report today. Heck, Osama Bin Laden is probably still living in a cave, and I’ll bet he knows that the report has been published. You can download the 1.5-megabyte PDF document, free, by visiting this page. I urge you to do so; it’s only 160 pages long, set in a type-font that you can actually read without a magnifying glass, and it’s written in clear, simple English. You can also read the text of President Bush’s remarks about the report, after it was presented to him this morning, together with a Spanish version and/or a multimedia version. And you can read the transcript of the press conference held by White House Press Secretary Tony Snow at 1:15 PM this afternoon.
I’ve got pretty strong feelings about all of this, but I’ll refrain from editorializing. But what amazes me is that a significant percentage of the U.S. population seems to be ignoring the report entirely, or depending on sound-bite summaries from the major news media, or perhaps the late-night talk-show quips, jokes, and commentaries from Jon Stewart, David Letterman, and Jay Leno. I had a quiet dinner tonight in a neighborhood bar/grill, and though the television mounted high on the wall was showing news reports, analyses from various “talking heads,” and somber news-crawl summaries along the bottom of the screen (warning of “humanitarian catastrophe” if the situation continued to disintegrate), nobody paid attention. Wordless, disco-style rock music was thump-thump-thumping in the background; people ranging from twenty-somethings to sixty-somethings laughed and chattered, as they swilled down their martinis, beers, and glasses of wine. No frowns, no muttering, no staring at the screen, no sense that anything more significant than a Monday-night football game was being shown on the screen.
Maybe I shouldn’t be surprised: after all, I do live in the center of one of the primary Red States in the country; but somehow, I wonder if the scene was any different this evening in neighborhood bars and restaurants anywhere else in the country, like Kansas City or even Crawford, Texas. In any case, I got the strong impression that the folks chattering all around me — as I quietly munched on my grilled chicken, salad, and club soda — probably don’t have any children, siblings, spouses, or loved ones currently serving in Iraq. If they did, maybe they’d be paying more attention. Or maybe they do have loved ones in Iraq, and they’re so distraught that they decided to come down to the neighborhood bar and grill to drown their sorrows.
Anyway, do me a favor: download the report, and read it carefully; it shouldn’t take you more than an hour. And then draw your own conclusions.

December 7th, 2006 at 1:55 am
I fail to see anything signicantly different from what has been going on for the past 3 yeatrs. We have destroyed their country and can only make it worse by staying there even a day longer. If we get out it wouldn’t take long for them to realize that they are destroying themselves and crown another King like they did in 1915 .
December 7th, 2006 at 12:19 pm
I have a son who will be in Irag (or Kuwait or Afganistan) by next October at the earliest. Has anyone tried to draw a comparison between Irag,Syria,Iran, and Lebanon and the middle ages states of Italy, France and Germany? Someone could do a modern version of Romeo and Juliet where the two families are the Sunnis and Shiites. so why in the world would we think that they are ready for something that took hundreds of years and liters of blood for our ancestors to get working?
December 7th, 2006 at 7:21 pm
The question of whether the Iraqis, if left to their own devices, would figure things out quickly and “crown another King, like they did in 1915,” or whether it would take “hundreds of years and liters of blood” is an interesting one … but both of these assessments assume the outcome would be determined only by Shiites, Sunnis, and Kurds. The Iraq Study Group, and several other commentators, have often made the point that Iraq’s neighbors would be unlikely to stand by passively and watch this from the sidelines. Turkey might well step in to deal with the Kurds; Iran might aggressively support the Shiites in Iraq, while Saudi Arabia has indicated that it would provide armed support for the Sunni minority. I have no idea what Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Kuwait, Israel, and Egypt (among others) would do, but “nothing” seems an unlikely option.
This doesn’t necessarily mean that we should, or should not, stay or withdraw; but the point is that it is now (and may have always been) a truly “regional” problem. It seems increasingly obvious that the U.S. blundered into this situation in 2003 without a full awareness of all these regional, cultural, tribal, ethnic, and religious factions.